The newly launched "When Will Powell Resign as Federal Reserve Chair" contract on Polymarket shows the highest probability between June 6–12, at 20%, and 18% for May 30–June 5. Settlement is based on the specified date range, and resignation requires Powell to actually no longer serve as chair; mere resignation, dismissal, or end of term does not count. Settlement only occurs during Powell’s tenure as chair, with the time zone in Eastern Time. Odaily Seer continues to monitor the prediction market.

MeNews

2026-05-27 10:29:33

Abstract generation in progress

ME News Report, April 18 (UTC+8), Odaily Seer monitoring shows that Polymarket has listed a new event: "When will Powell step down as Federal Reserve Chair?" Currently, the highest probability is from June 6 to June 12, at 20%; the next highest is from May 30 to June 5, at 18%.
The event contract rules are: The market will settle based on the specified date range when Powell steps down as Federal Reserve Chair.
"Resignation" refers to Powell no longer holding the position of Federal Reserve Chair in fact.
Announcements of Powell's resignation or dismissal do not alone meet the criteria.
The scheduled end of Powell's term does not alone meet the criteria.
If Powell continues to serve as acting Chair (e.g., until a successor is confirmed), he will not be considered to have abdicated the Chair.
This market is limited to Powell's tenure as Federal Reserve Chair.
Powell's status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board does not affect the settlement of this market.
All dates are based on Eastern Time in the United States.
Odaily Seer continues to monitor prediction markets, observing changes before pricing. (Source: ODAILY)

POLYMARKET9.25%

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GateUser-170ee8b1

· 9h ago

Waiting for Powell himself to open a long or short position.

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0xLateDinner

· 16h ago

June 6-12, is it just one week after the FOMC?

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MarginMom

· 16h ago

Prediction markets thrive on information asymmetry; Odaily keeps a close watch.

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PaperhandsPoet

· 16h ago

20% vs 18%, the gap isn't big, and the market is also quite conflicted

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GateUser-4cc35c5c

· 16h ago

20% still feels a bit conservative

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GateUser-a365d15f

· 16h ago

How is the liquidity of this contract? Does anyone dare to hold a large position?

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Stop-LossIsLikeAConfession

· 17h ago

What would Powell think if he saw this contract?

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Paper-CutOctopusMarketAnalysis

· 17h ago

Ending the term doesn't count; it depends on whether you left voluntarily or were fired.

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GateUser-9d67589f

· 17h ago

Settlement in Eastern Time, detail-oriented enthusiasts rejoice

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Polymarket new "When will Powell step down as Federal Reserve Chair", probability temporarily reported at 20% from June 6 to 12

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