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TidalShellReflection

The ceasefire is fragile; oil prices and interest rates are the real guns and swords.

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BlockBeatNews
Bitunix Analyst: Hormuz Shipping's brief recovery, the market's real concern is the "global liquidity shock after the ceasefire fails"
On the surface, the Middle East situation appears to be cooling down, and the Hormuz shipping is gradually recovering, but in reality, concerns over war, energy, and global liquidity have not been alleviated. Over the past 24 hours, approximately 4 million barrels of non-sanctioned crude oil have passed through Hormuz, with the US and Iran still experiencing friction near the strait, remaining in a fragile limited ceasefire. Even if an agreement is reached, Middle Eastern risks could continue to impact global energy, inflation, and interest rates for months, and the peace news has been met with indifference. The rise in AI stocks and resource risks coexist, with global resource competition intensifying. The crypto market shows high leverage and news-driven characteristics, making it prone to liquidations once volatility occurs. Overall, there are three simultaneous risks: high valuations, high interest rates, and high geopolitical risks.
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