Buy Crypto
Pay with
USD
USD
Buy & Sell
Hot
Supports Visa, Mastercard, SEPA & more
P2P
0 Fees
Flexible trading, zero fees
Gate Card
Use your crypto for payments worldwide
Markets
Trade
Basic
Advanced
Futures
Futures
Access hundreds of perpetual contracts
CFD
Gold
One platform for global traditional assets
Options
Hot
Trade European-style vanilla options
Unified Account
Maximize your capital efficiency
Demo Trading
Introduction to Futures Trading
Learn the basics of futures trading
Futures Events
Join events to earn rewards
Demo Trading
Use virtual funds to practice risk-free trading
U.S. Stocks
CFD
U.S. stock CFD derivatives
Futures
High leverage, 24/7 trading
Tokenized Stocks
Backed by real stock assets
GUSD
Mint GUSD for Treasury RWA yields
Earn
Launch
CandyDrop
tag
Collect candies to earn airdrops
Launchpool
Quick staking, earn potential new tokens
HODLer Airdrop
Hold GT and get massive airdrops for free
Pre-IPOs
Unlock full access to global stock IPOs
Alpha Points
Trade on-chain assets and earn airdrops
Futures Points
Earn futures points and claim airdrop rewards
Investment
Square
Square
Post, share, and explore crypto trends
Live
moments live
Live crypto market analysis
Chat
Chat with crypto traders
News
What is happening in crypto
flower_head
More
Promotions
AI
Others
TradFi
Gate Card
Rewards
Square
Latest
Hot
News
Profile

Polymarket new "When will Powell step down as Federal Reserve Chair", probability temporarily reported at 20% from June 6 to 12

MeNews
robot
Abstract generation in progress
ME News Report, April 18th (UTC+8), Odaily Seer Prophet Channel monitoring shows that Polymarket has added a new prediction: "When will Powell step down as Federal Reserve Chair?" Currently, the highest probability is from June 6 to June 12, at 20%; the next highest is from May 30 to June 5, at 18%.
The event contract rules are: The market will settle based on the specified date range for Powell's resignation as Federal Reserve Chair. "Resignation" refers to Powell actually no longer holding the position of Federal Reserve Chair.
Announcements of Powell's resignation or dismissal do not alone meet the criteria.
The scheduled end of Powell's term does not alone meet the criteria.
If Powell continues to serve as acting Chair (e.g., until a successor is confirmed), he will not be considered to have abdicated the Chair.
This market is limited to Powell's tenure as Federal Reserve Chair.
Powell's status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board does not affect the settlement of this market.
All dates are based on Eastern Time in the United States.
Odaily Seer Prophet Channel continues to monitor prediction markets, observing changes before pricing. (Source: ODAILY)
View Original
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
  • Reward
  • 6
  • 1
  • Share
Comment
Add a comment
Add a comment
GateUser-15b19a42
· 5h ago
Only consider actual resignation; quitting without resigning doesn't count. This rule is set quite precisely.
View OriginalReply0
FomoLibrarian
· 5h ago
How is the liquidity of politically sensitive contracts like Polymarket usually? Has anyone tried it?
View OriginalReply0
GateUser-5f4bad9c
· 5h ago
Eastern Time settlement is a bit unfriendly to Asian players.
View OriginalReply0
ReadingContractsUntilMyEyesAre
· 5h ago
The two consecutive periods at the end of May and the beginning of June add up to 38%, which makes this time window quite interesting.
View OriginalReply0
MinimalistSculpturePedestal
· 5h ago
I feel the market is still quite conservative; if there were a major change, it would definitely leak out a week in advance.
View OriginalReply0
SummerCoast
· 5h ago
The 20% probability is neither high nor low; it's quite subtle.
View OriginalReply0

  • Pinned

Sitemap