Powell's resignation prediction has been recorded on the blockchain, with a 20% probability that the highest range will occur in early June.

The newly launched "When Will Powell Resign as Federal Reserve Chair" contract on Polymarket shows that the highest probability is from June 6–12, at 20%, followed by May 30–June 5 at 18%. Settlement is based on the specified date range, and resignation requires Powell to actually no longer serve as Chair; mere resignation, dismissal, or end of term does not count. Settlement only occurs during Powell’s tenure as Chair, with the timezone set to Eastern Time. Odaily Seer continues to monitor the prediction market.