ME News, April 18 (UTC+8): Odaily Seer monitoring shows that Polymarket has added the new event “When will Powell step down as Federal Reserve Chair?” The highest probability is currently for June 6 to June 12 at 20%; the second-highest probability is for May 30 to June 5 at 18%.The event contract rules are as follows: This market will be settled based on the specified date range when Powell resigns as Federal Reserve Chair. “Resignation” means that Powell is no longer actually serving as Federal Reserve Chair. Announcements of news that Powell has resigned or been dismissed do not, by themselves, meet the criteria. The scheduled end of Powell’s term by itself does not meet the criteria. If Powell continues to serve as acting Chair (for example, until a successor is confirmed), he will not be deemed to have stepped down from the Chair. This market is limited to the period during which Powell serves as Federal Reserve Chair. Powell as the Fed

MeNews

2026-05-26 17:39:54

ME News Report, April 18 (UTC+8), Odaily Seer monitoring shows that Polymarket has listed a new event: "When will Powell step down as Federal Reserve Chair?" Currently, the highest probability is from June 6 to June 12, at 20%; the next highest is from May 30 to June 5, at 18%.
The event contract rules are: The market will settle based on the specified date range when Powell steps down as Federal Reserve Chair.
"Resignation" refers to Powell no longer holding the position of Federal Reserve Chair in fact.
Announcements of Powell's resignation or dismissal do not alone meet the criteria.
The scheduled end of Powell's term does not alone meet the criteria.
If Powell continues to serve as acting Chair (e.g., until a successor is confirmed), he will not be considered to have abdicated the Chair.
This market is limited to Powell's tenure as Federal Reserve Chair.
Powell's status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board does not affect the settlement of this market.
All dates are based on Eastern Time in the United States.
Odaily Seer continues to monitor prediction markets, observing changes before pricing.
(Source: ODAILY)

POLYMARKET-0.53%

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NightTideShell

· 5h ago

Ending the term doesn't count; it has to be him voluntarily stepping down or being fired, which is quite difficult.

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StopLossSparrow

· 5h ago

If the acting chairperson continues to serve, it doesn't count as resignation, so is the delaying tactic feasible?

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OwlChainViewer

· 5h ago

The rules are written so long that there might be controversial cases.

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BearMarketWithAHintOfOrange

· 5h ago

Prophet channel monitoring... Is this data source reliable?

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SummerNightColdWallet

· 5h ago

Betting on this is not as good as betting on the number of interest rate cuts; liquidity would be better.

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YieldYardkeeper

· 5h ago

The highest probability is in June; is it related to a certain meeting?

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PerpPulse

· 5h ago

18% vs 20%, these two ranges are so close, what is the market debating?

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Polymarket new "When will Powell step down as Federal Reserve Chair", probability temporarily reported as 20% from June 6 to 12

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