Tonight’s 21:30 U.S. stock market opening forecast.

First, price action and structure: US stock futures are currently generally bullish. Nasdaq and S&P futures are rising, suggesting that risk-asset sentiment has rebounded ahead of the open. However, “the big pancake” has already pulled back from its highs during the day, and it is still in a short-term correction. If US stocks open higher and continue to move stronger, BTC has a chance to retrace back to the 77,000–77,500 area.

Second, capital flows: Expectations for the US-Iran talks are cooling safe-haven demand. Oil prices are falling, and the 10-year US Treasury yield is declining, which is favorable for risk capital to return. But the crypto market itself still faces heavy leverage pressure at high levels, and after the open it is prone to rapid long/short back-and-forth.

Third, technical analysis: If “the big pancake” can hold above 76,500 in the short term, the rebound structure can still continue. If it pushes above 77,000 with no volume, it is likely to fall back. “Yi Tai” is mainly watching support around 2,100 and resistance at 2,130–2,150.

Fourth, news: Tonight’s core focus is progress on the US-Iran negotiations. Optimistic negotiations would support a rebound in both US stocks and the crypto market. But if the news keeps changing back and forth, oil prices and safe-haven sentiment may disturb the market again.

Fifth, market sentiment: Current sentiment has shifted from panic to cautious recovery, and volatility is expected to be relatively high at the beginning of the session. Overall, if US stocks open higher and rally, the crypto market is likely to follow the rebound. If US stocks surge and then pull back, “the big pancake” is also likely to face pressure and retest lower levels. ##ESPORTS关联地址抛售致币价暴跌 $BTC $ETH