No one can predict the market; you can only follow the market trends.

1. Brief Market News

1. Positive
The US CLARITY Act passed the Senate, classifying BTC as a digital commodity under CFTC regulation, which is beneficial for long-term industry standardization; short-term funds are cashing out and pulling back; long-term institutions continue to accumulate coins at low levels; spot ETF outflows slow down; US-Iran conflict eases, risk aversion selling diminishes.
2. Negative
The Federal Reserve's likelihood of raising interest rates within the year increases; US bond yields remain high, suppressing risk assets; short-term institutions slightly reduce BTC ETF holdings; market incremental funds are insufficient, and existing positions fluctuate in a game of wait-and-see; profit-taking from previous surges continues to be realized.
3. Market Status
High-level range oscillation, balanced between bulls and bears, awaiting Federal Reserve rate guidance to choose direction.

2. Key Price Levels

1. Resistance
Short-term 77,800-78,300 (intraday support/resistance level; volume breakout needed for strength); 78,600-79,000 medium resistance; 81,800 strong resistance, only if stabilized can the upward trend restart.
2. Support
Short-term 76,500-76,800 (daily vital support; multiple rebounds indicate strong support); 76,000 secondary defense; 74,500 medium-term strong support; falling below disrupts the consolidation pattern; extreme defense at 71,400.
3. Market Interpretation
Hold above 76,500 to maintain high-level oscillation; stabilize above 78,300 to look for rebounds; fall below 76,000 to enter a weaker correction phase.

Ethereum (ETH) news + key price levels (current price around 2110)

1. Brief Market News

1. Positive
Following BTC to enjoy the benefits of US crypto regulation standardization; ETH ecosystem staking remains stable, on-chain chips face limited selling pressure; BTC stabilization boosts overall market sentiment.
2. Negative
Institutions significantly reduce ETH ETF holdings, with declines greater than BTC; ecosystem hotspots are scarce, funds flock to Bitcoin, and ETH's bullish sentiment is weak; daily chart shows a correction and recovery trend, with decreasing volume on rebounds.
3. Market Status
Passive correlation with Bitcoin; independent trend is weak, with narrow-range consolidation.

2. Key Price Levels

1. Resistance
Short-term 2,140-2,160 (first resistance; multiple rejections); 2,185-2,200 medium resistance; 2,300 strong resistance, stabilizing above can reverse short-term weakness.
2. Support
Short-term 2,080-2,090 (intraday defense level); 2,055 core support; 2,000 integer level ultimate defense line; falling below opens downside space.
3. Market Interpretation
Range oscillation between 2,080-2,155; ETH needs BTC strength to surge higher; falling below 2,080 likely indicates weakness.

Summary of the Interaction

1. Macro logic is consistent: Federal Reserve policies determine the medium-term direction, with short-term support from regulatory benefits and geopolitical easing leading to oscillation.
2. Strength and weakness relationship: BTC is the market leader, with ETH passively following. If BTC holds above 76,500, ETH likely stays above 2,080; if BTC breaks key support, ETH's downside potential increases.
3. Short-term trend: Mainly range-bound oscillation, waiting for volume breakout or breakdown of key zones to establish trend.