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May 25th, the agreement is about to be signed.
You see oil prices drop 6%, thinking to yourself, "Finally some peace, time to buy the dip on risky assets."
In the early hours of May 26th, missiles strike.
You watch the price bounce back, and think again, "As expected, it's not that simple, better hedge."
Within a day, your mind has shifted three times:
Go long → Go short → Hold cash and watch → Want to chase again.
You're not actually trading; you're being led by news into reactive stress testing.
What is the essence of this US-Iran situation?
Neither side wants a full-scale war (the cost is unbearable for both)
Both sides must appear "tough" domestically
So the script is only one: fighting, stopping, talking, bombing, and repeating
This leads to a terrifying consequence:
No news can tell you "what will happen in the next minute."
You think the agreement implementation is good news?
The missile strike at dawn tells you: the good news only lasted 6 hours.
You think escalation means a sharp drop?
Trump’s comment "Negotiations are still ongoing" pulls prices back up.
Where do most people get killed?
They die because they insist on "understanding" US-Iran.
You're not CIA; you understand nothing.
Those who survive longer only do three things:
1️⃣ Cut positions to a level where "missiles come and I can still sleep"
What does it mean to sleep?
Liquidation price at least 30% below current price
No single coin/asset exceeds 15% of total holdings
Always keep more than 40% in stablecoins
2️⃣ Don't bet on rise or fall, bet on "the market will keep going crazy"
In this US-Iran situation, in the next 30 days, there are only two states:
False peace
Limited conflict
Both states lead to the same result: prices jumping up and down, long and short getting wiped out.
So you should:
Buy straddle options with small positions (whether prices surge or crash, you profit)
Or simply avoid directional bets, use grid + stop-loss with strict discipline
3️⃣ Only participate in the "dumbest" assets
In this environment, smart people are losing money.
What are the fools doing?
Accumulating BTC/ETH + selling out-of-the-money long-term call options (collect time value, not afraid of volatility)
Staking stablecoins + short-term US debt tokens (8-12% annualized, worry-free)
You read news 10 times a day, watch 20 analyst opinions, draw 100 trend lines.
But ultimately, what determines your profit or loss is not what US-Iran does next.
It’s: you can’t control your hands. #股票交易挑战最高赢17000U #美军打击伊朗 $BTC $ETH