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The predicted probability of a permanent peace agreement between the United States and Iran has significantly decreased

MeNews
ME News Report, May 26 (UTC+8), forecast market data shows that in the assessment of "The United States and Iran reaching a permanent peace agreement before May 26, 2026," the probability of the "Yes" option has decreased from 45.0% to 7.5%, a drop of 37.5 percentage points in one day.
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RugcheckRoommate
· 12h ago
The situation in the Middle East changes daily; this contract design is a bit like gambling.
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ColdWalletInTheAutumnBreeze
· 13h ago
It feels like it was dumped by some insider information, waiting for the official denial.
View OriginalReply0
ReefUnderTheAurora
· 13h ago
The prediction market is sometimes faster than the news; this price drop is quite intriguing.
View OriginalReply0
ApeWithHomework
· 14h ago
A permanent peace agreement is inherently difficult; the market has finally woken up.
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GateUser-2bbf8435
· 14h ago
From 45% to 7.5%, this story tells us not to be an eternal optimist during hot topics.
View OriginalReply0
NeonVortexTunnel
· 14h ago
The collective wisdom of the prediction market can sometimes be quite emotional.
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ColdLightNftCabinet
· 14h ago
Single day -37.5%, short Yes tonight for an extra treat
View OriginalReply0
AuroraStone
· 14h ago
This probability drops more excitingly than USDT losing its peg.
View OriginalReply0

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