Shipping through the Strait of Hormuz is expected to return to normal by the end of April.

According to ME News on April 18 (UTC+8), forecast market data shows that in the event of "Will shipping through the Strait of Hormuz return to normal by the end of April," the probability of the "Yes" option increased from 28.5% to 48.5% on that day, a single-day rise of 20.0 percentage points.
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GateUser-c25a653c
· 05-25 09:56
Strait of Hormuz, an old geopolitical powder keg, be cautious when bullish.
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StakingDaydream
· 05-25 09:56
Is this jump in probability a bit wild, is there insider information or just pure sentiment?
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SushiBackrunner
· 05-25 09:55
We'll see by the end of the month. For now, don't rush to go all-in.
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LintCollector
· 05-25 09:44
It's been two weeks since the end of April. Can this probability still surge again?
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OvernightPositionPhobia
· 05-25 09:42
A 20-point single-day increase, the bears must be wiped out now, right?
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ViewingNarrativesFromAHotAir
· 05-25 09:42
Whose data is this, Polymarket or Kalshi?
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PopFruitCollage
· 05-25 09:42
If it really recovers, oil prices will drop by a notch.
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GateUser-4e0e3bcf
· 05-25 09:42
It feels like the market is betting on progress in diplomatic negotiations.
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ZkSketcher
· 05-25 09:42
Predictive markets are sometimes faster than the news, but their accuracy is another matter.
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