Expectations for a permanent peace agreement between the United States and Iran have sharply declined

According to ME News on May 25th (UTC+8), forecast market data shows that for the judgment "The United States and Iran will reach a permanent peace agreement before May 26, 2026," the probability of the "Definitely will" option has plummeted from 59.5% to 9.5%, a 50.0 percentage point drop in a single day.
View Original
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
  • Reward
  • 7
  • Repost
  • Share
Comment
Add a comment
Add a comment
FeeTaker
· 1h ago
It seems no one believes Trump can handle Iran.
View OriginalReply0
DrawTheCandlestickChartIn
· 1h ago
Peace agreement? The market says don't buy yet.
View OriginalReply0
VineGeometry
· 1h ago
I felt like this number was toxic when it was at 59%.
View OriginalReply0
SpiralSeaSalt
· 1h ago
Are you willing to buy the dip at this odds?
View OriginalReply0
GateUser-2d7346e0
· 1h ago
Geopolitical black swan, even the market fears predictions
View OriginalReply0
AirdropJanitor
· 1h ago
Market prediction: I changed my mind
View OriginalReply0
MoonlightReef
· 1h ago
This dive range is even more exciting than a Shitcoin.
View OriginalReply0
  • Pinned