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American bond investors forecast WASH to raise interest rates in December

MeNews
ME News message, May 25 (UTC+8). U.S. bond investors believe that Federal Reserve Chair Voš will prioritize maintaining the central bank’s credibility in fighting inflation rather than responding to President Trump’s calls for rate cuts. The market has already prepared for a rate hike this December through instruments such as swaps. However, on the Polymarket platform, the probability that the Fed will raise interest rates this year is only 35%. (Source: MLion)
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SeeingTheChainThroughTheFog
· 4h ago
Polymarket 35% is a bit conservative; if Wosh is really this firm, the market would need to reprice.
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GateUser-af0ea0c9
· 4h ago
Inflation fighter vs political pressure, the new Federal Reserve Chair's first hurdle.
View OriginalReply0
TheWindBeneathTheCyberBridge
· 4h ago
Is MLion's news source reliable? The narrative switch is a bit quick.
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TheGiantWhaleInTheReflection
· 4h ago
If the Fed really raises interest rates, risk assets will tremble a bit. I'll wait and see for now.
View OriginalReply0
0xLateAgain
· 4h ago
The expectations for interest rate hikes and cuts coexist, making it really difficult for the Federal Reserve in 2025.
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ProofOfNap
· 4h ago
Bond investors and prediction markets have such a large disagreement, who is right?
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BetaParanoiac
· 4h ago
Does a 35% probability mean most people think Wosh will back down, or are they betting on data changing?
View OriginalReply0

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