The predicted probability of the United States and Iran reaching a permanent peace agreement has significantly decreased.

According to ME News on May 25th (UTC+8), forecast market data shows that in the prediction of "Will the United States and Iran reach a permanent peace agreement before June 7, 2026," the probability of the "Yes" option has decreased from 71.5% to 30.5%, a single-day drop of 41.0 percentage points.
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雾中TVL
· 2h ago
Predictive markets are sometimes faster than the news.
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GateUser-ffe7bee5
· 8h ago
41% decline, the bears made a killing
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L2LunchBoy
· 14h ago
This wave of volatility is even more exciting than meme coins.
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SudoSatoshi
· 14h ago
This kind of political prediction is just pure gambling.
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IHateFalseProsperity.
· 14h ago
Signals from the prediction market are worth paying attention to
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OrderbookOtter
· 14h ago
In a single day, with a 41 percentage point drop, how many people were liquidated?
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TheTreeInTheCenterOfMistValley
· 14h ago
Peace? First, ask if Israel agrees or not.
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OracleSkeptic
· 14h ago
It only takes 24 hours to go from optimistic to pessimistic
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L2Mailman
· 14h ago
It seems like new sanctions are coming again.
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TheGiantWhaleInTheReflection
· 14h ago
Watching odds changes is more interesting than reading reports
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