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Will the United States and Iran reach a permanent peace agreement before April 22, 2026?
The probability of "Yes" options increases by 25.0 percentage points in a single day.

MeNews
According to ME News on April 18th (UTC+8), forecast market data shows that in the event of "Can the United States and Iran reach a permanent peace agreement before April 22, 2026?", the trading probability of the "Yes" option increased from 14.5% to 39.5%, a single-day rise of 25.0 percentage points.
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ReflectiveChainShadow
· 05-24 11:42
This increase is a bit outrageous, 25 points in a day.
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tvl_down_bad
· 05-24 11:33
39.5% still feels a bit too optimistic
View OriginalReply0
Low-PolyFloatingEarth
· 05-24 10:19
14.5% jumps up, is there large capital entering the market?
View OriginalReply0
L2AlleyRunner
· 05-24 10:18
A permanent peace agreement, the very term itself is quite fantastical.
View OriginalReply0
FoldedCosmosCat
· 05-24 10:16
Is it Polymarket or Kalshi's data?
View OriginalReply0
ReboundAtTheStreetCornerAfter
· 05-24 09:58
Just look at the sentiment indicator in the prediction market.
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GateUser-4e0e3bcf
· 05-24 09:58
I bet no, these two countries have a deep-seated grudge.
View OriginalReply0
BlueMultisig
· 05-24 09:55
The agreement two years from now, and you're betting so big now.
View OriginalReply0
GateUser-8ca669fd
· 05-24 09:53
A 25% increase in a single day, is there any news or developments?
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GateUser-e5e2e632
· 05-24 09:52
Waiting for a reversal; such surges are often followed by a correction.
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