#Polymarket每日热点

Global risk sentiment has sharply improved following news that a final draft of the Iran-US deal has been reached through Pakistan-mediated talks. Bitcoin briefly regained the $78,000 region before pulling back towards $77,000 as investors digested the news.
My market view for today:

• Bullish momentum is returning, but BTC still faces strong resistance around $78,000-$79,000.
• If macro optimism continues and equities remain green, Bitcoin could retest $79,000 before the daily close.
• However, volatility remains extremely high as investors are still uncertain about Fed policy and whether the Iran deal will be formalized.

Prediction:
Unless geopolitical news reverses sentiment, BTC is likely to trade between $76,800 and $79,200 today, showing a slight upward trend.

Bullish Scenario:
• Peace agreement approved
• Oil prices stabilized
• Risky assets continued to recover
• BTC broke the $79,000 resistance

Bearish Scenario:
• Delays in negotiations or negative news
• Profit taking after recovery
• Fed/interest rate fears returned
• BTC retreated towards the $75,000 support

Polymarket May 22nd Event Card

Will Bitcoin close above $78,500 on May 22nd?

🟢 YES — Momentum continues
• Macro sentiment is improving
• BTC remains above the $77,000 support
• Bulls are advancing towards $79,000-$80,000

🔴 NO — Rejection and pullback
• Resistance around $78,500 remains strong
• Investors are taking profits after the recovery
• BTC is revisiting lower support zones

Current sentiment: cautiously bullish, but volatility is extremely high. Which side are you on today?