Tom Lee: The selling pressure on Ethereum mainly comes from rising oil prices; resolving the war will ease macroeconomic pressures.

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Mars Finance News, May 21 — Tom Lee stated that the current selling pressure on Ethereum mainly comes from rising oil prices. Regarding the recently released Federal Reserve April minutes, he said that if inflation remains above 2%, the Fed may need to "tighten policy." Tom Lee believes that ETH has the highest negative correlation with oil prices in history; high oil prices boost inflation expectations, increase the likelihood of Fed rate hikes, thereby tightening monetary liquidity and suppressing crypto assets. Since the outbreak of the Iran war, oil price fluctuations have been highly synchronized with the Fed's rate hike/cut expectations for 2026. The resolution of the war will directly affect oil prices and may alleviate macro pressures on ETH.
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ApeWithHomework
· 7h ago
So, to speculate on ETH, should I first look at WTI? The correlation seems a bit counterintuitive.
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SeeingTheChainThroughTheFog
· 7h ago
Tom Lee's perspective is quite fresh; I really hadn't previously linked oil prices directly to ETH selling pressure.
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AMirroredSphereReflectingThe
· 7h ago
Is the negative correlation at its historical highest? Is there a data source? I want to verify.
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ProofOfSnack
· 7h ago
I feel this logic is more suitable for options volatility trading; the direction is too difficult to bet on.
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GateUser-e4351615
· 7h ago
The Federal Reserve is hijacked by oil prices, crypto is hijacked by the Federal Reserve, it's a nested doll.
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GateUser-7cb48814
· 7h ago
The thought process of macro traders really is different.
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