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Hello to all the friends paddling in the deep waters of crypto,
The current market situation can be described with four characters: heartbeat accelerating. Due to the dual "double whammy" of the stalemate in the Strait of Hormuz and the repeated macro inflation data, the market has entered an extremely sensitive defensive period.
Those holding Bitcoin above the 80k level may want to take a sip of water to calm their nerves. Currently, the candlestick is repeatedly rubbing around 76,700.
Resistance level: The first hurdle is at 78,962 (50% Fibonacci retracement), where a large number of trapped positions are stacked. If it cannot break back above 81,700, this rebound can only be considered a "dead cat bounce."
Support level: 76,700 is the current psychological defense line. If it breaks below, the next target is the 74,500 zone.
ETH: Jumping on the icy surface at 2,100
The performance of ETH remains sluggish as always. Currently, due to decreased on-chain activity, momentum is weak.
Key level: Must regain 2,150 to have a chance to breathe.
Extreme defense: 2,065. If this level breaks, everyone should be prepared to face the psychological threshold of 2,000 and prepare to receive chips there.
⚠️ Lululu reminds:
Risk aversion sentiment rising: Don’t forget, the current logic is "gold rises, Bitcoin falls." Geopolitical instability makes risk-averse funds prefer traditional safe-haven assets.
Trading volume shrinking: The current consolidation is a "volumeless decline," which easily tests patience. Avoid frequently flipping hands in the oscillation zone, be careful of transaction fees eating up your principal.
Macro variables: Keep an eye on news flow regarding the US-Iran situation. The current market is not about technical indicators but about headlines. #btc $BTC $ETH