🌍 Global Market Report:

⚠️Knife-edge Geopolitics and Hawkish Fed
🟡1. Geopolitical Equation: War or Peace?
Markets are entirely dependent on news flow within the US-Iran-Israel triangle. The risk appetite, which deteriorated at the start of the day, recovered somewhat with the "agreement close" optimism coming at the last second.
🔸US Move: Trump presented Iran with a revised 14-point proposal. It is critical what Iran will say this time, as they previously rejected the offer.
🔸Israel Factor: Netanyahu does not want peace; the US administration is caught between Israel, which wants war, and Iran, which resists.
🔸Market Scenarios:
🟢If an Agreement is Reached: The risk of war is eliminated, and markets will quickly sail upward. (However, the costs incurred by war in the medium term should not be forgotten).
🔴If No Agreement: The US may move to a stage where it counts down to an attack; this could trigger a sharp sell-off that surpasses thresholds in the markets.
🟡2. Technology Boost: NVIDIA Earnings
NVIDIA, at the center of the AI craze, announced an incredible earnings report that came to the rescue of markets.
Revenue Growth: 85%
Net Profit Increase: 211%
Market Impact: It gave a serious morale boost to stock markets and positively differentiated indices. However, a single earnings report seems insufficient to completely erase the momentum loss and the "shadow of war" in US stocks.
🟡3. Macroeconomics and the Fed: Rate Hike on the Table!
Minutes from the Fed's April meeting show that committee members adopted a tone much more "hawkish" than expected.
Inflation Concerns: Members are worried about inflation spiraling out of control. Rate cuts are off the table, and rate hikes are now on the agenda.
Bond Auction Alarm: As the US Treasury's 20-year bond issuance saw yields rise to 5.122%, the decrease in demand clearly confirms that investors are seeking higher returns and avoiding risk (risk aversion).
🟡4. Market Snapshot (Morning Card)
Global stock markets are showing a mixed and indecisive trend as of the morning hours.
🟡5. Domestic Agenda: Diplomacy and London Trip
Turkey's focus is on both geopolitical diplomacy and foreign investor meetings:
🔹Erdoğan - Trump Meeting: President Erdoğan and US President Trump discussed regional issues and bilateral relations over the phone.
🔹London Visit: Treasury and Finance Minister Mehmet Şimşek and CBRT President Fatih Karahan will address foreign funds and investors at an event in London.
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