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Large trading volume but price remains unchanged, what signals is the market releasing? (Often appears on the 1-hour chart, mainly focusing on spot market patterns)
1. First, look at the price position (the most core, determines the nature)
1. High-level zone (already surged significantly, top oscillation)
• Phenomenon: Massive turnover, price stays stuck, no upward movement
• Conclusion: Main force distributes at high levels, many retail investors take the bait, long and short hedge with volume
• Operation: Do not chase longs, always beware of breakdowns and declines
2. Low-level zone (already fallen sharply, bottom sideways)
• Phenomenon: Continuous huge volume, price cannot go down further, sideways oscillation
• Conclusion: Big funds accumulate at the bottom, panic selling is fully absorbed by the main force
• Operation: No longer short, wait for the bottom to complete and rebound
3. Middle oscillation (midway in an uptrend/downtrend box)
• Phenomenon: Volume expands, sideways trading, no clear up or down
• Conclusion: Bulls and bears dispute for control, shakeout, exchange for new chips, preparing for a breakout
• Operation: Observe and wait, follow after a breakout in either direction
2. Then, look at order book (distinguish real trades from wash trading at a glance)
1. Thick order book (layered buy and sell orders)
• Massive trades are immediately eaten up, price remains stable
• Belongs to: genuine long/short hedging, highly liquid, not fake
2. Thin order book but suddenly huge volume appears
• Belongs to: main force wash trading, self-buy/self-sell, fake volume to attract retail follow
• Purpose: create a false sense of activity, induce longs or shorts
3. Repeated trades at a fixed price level
• Belongs to: institutional block trading, agreed price transfer of chips, does not affect market price
3. Use candlestick patterns for auxiliary confirmation
1. Doji, straight-line candlestick, small real body + huge volume → bulls and bears are fully balanced
2. Long upper and lower shadows, tiny real body + volume → intense game, direction about to be decided
3. Continuous volume expansion over several days with sideways movement → approaching a trend reversal window
4. Look at timing nodes
1. Before major data/news: bulls and bears heavily engaged, volume expands, sideways consolidation, waiting for news to land
2. End-of-day concentrated volume: institutional rebalancing, passive funds hedging
3. Delivery/settlement days: hedging, spot traders closing positions and rebalancing
5. Minimalist mnemonic (memorize and use directly)
High-volume at high levels = distribution,
High-volume at low levels = accumulation;
Thin volume sideways = wash trading,
Thick volume sideways = genuine battle;
Sideways with huge volume, no direction,
Wait for breakout to confirm long or short.