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2026.5.21 Auntie Tai’s Trading Thoughts
The larger cycle is weaker than Bitcoin, with narrow-range oscillations at low levels—rebounds are preferred for doing Kong.
$ETH
High Kong: Kong in the 2150-2170 range; Sun 2210; watch 2100-2050
Low buy: Buy in the 2080-2100 range; Sun 2050; watch 2150-2200
Technical:
Daily chart: It has broken below EMA5/15/30/60, all short-term moving averages; standard Kong-head arrangement; MACD green bars continue, and the downtrend is clear.
4-hour chart: It pulled back from the 2422 high to 2074, then moved into narrow-range oscillation. MACD shows a bottom divergence signal. There is a need for a weak rebound, but volume is seriously insufficient.
Hourly chart: RSI 47 is neutral. Trading volume has shrunk by 30% versus yesterday. There are no signs that Duo Kong is gaining strength—this is a typical ranging market.
Fundamentals:
Spot ETFs have seen net outflows for 8 consecutive days. On May 18 alone, outflows totaled $86.4 million; cumulative outflows exceed $500 million. Institutional sell pressure is far greater than Bitcoin.
Over the past 7 days, ETH has dropped 11.2%, which is 1.6 times the decline of BTC (6.8%). Funds are shifting from altcoins and Auntie Tai toward Bitcoin to seek safety.
On-chain active addresses have fallen by 18%. DeFi total locked value has dropped below $50 billion. Ecosystem activity remains sluggish.
Major trend: The daily-level downtrend has been established. 2422 is a phase top, and all rebounds are opportunities to do Kong.#RWA总市值突破650亿美元