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NVIDIA's $81.6B Quarter: AI Demand Isn't Slowing, It's Accelerating
NVIDIA just dropped the most important earnings of the quarter. Revenue hit $81.62B, crushing the $79.19B consensus. Data center revenue—the AI engine—soared 89% year-over-year to $75.2B. The AI supercycle isn't just alive. It's expanding.
🔹 The Raw Numbers
Revenue: $81.62 billion, up 85.2% year-over-year, exceeding analyst estimates of $78.84B . Data center revenue climbed to $75.2 billion, above the $73.48B forecast . Adjusted EPS reached $1.87, compared to expectations of $1.77 . Net profit came in at $583.21 billion, a year-over-year increase of over 210% .
🔹 The Guidance That Matters
Revenue of $91.0B, plus or minus 2%, compared to FactSet's estimate of $87.29B . Adjusted operating expenses of approximately $8.3 billion, versus $7.93 billion expected . R&D spending is rising as the Blackwell architecture ramps up. Operating margins remain healthy.
🔹 Blackwell Ultra: The $1 Trillion Bet
CEO Jensen Huang didn't just talk about chips. He talked about a fundamental shift. He highlighted the "trillion-dollar buildout of Blackwell Ultra and Rubin AI factories". This isn't a typical upgrade cycle. It's the construction of a completely new kind of data center. Every hyperscaler is buying every chip NVIDIA can produce. The backlog is extending well into next year.
🔹 The Crypto Connection
AI tokens react to Jensen Huang's words faster than any Fed statement. Here's why:
· Render (RNDR): Renders graphics on GPU networks; directly benefits from NVIDIA's ecosystem growth. The correlation between NVIDIA's growth and Render's price action has been extremely tight.
· Fetch (FET): Builds autonomous AI agents that require massive compute. Higher NVIDIA revenue signals more infrastructure for agent deployment. FET saw a 3.9% price increase following NVIDIA's report.
· Bittensor (TAO): Decentralized machine learning that runs on GPUs. Jensen's forecast of "AI factories" is literally what Bittensor creates.
· Akash Network (AKT): A decentralized cloud compute marketplace. Rising NVIDIA chip sales mean more supply for networks like Akash.
The Takeaway
NVIDIA didn't just beat estimates. It guided significantly higher. Revenue is set to hit $91B next quarter. The $1 trillion AI factory buildout is not a future prediction. It's the current reality. Crypto AI tokens caught a bid immediately. The correlation between NVIDIA's supply chain and on-chain AI projects is tightening. The infrastructure is scaling. The tokens are following.
Friends, which AI crypto token do you think benefits most from NVIDIA's $91B guidance: Render, Fetch, or another dark horse?
#TradfiTradingChallenge
Monday closed at $222.32, down 1.33% . A $5.38 trillion market cap holding its breath. The most important earnings print of the year lands Wednesday after the bell, and the setup is already loaded.
🔹 The Numbers Wall Street Demands
Consensus revenue sits at $78.8 billion, up 77% year-over-year . Goldman Sachs whispers $80 billion . Morgan Stanley raised to $79.26 billion and lifted its target to $285 . UBS expects $81 billion with Q2 guidance of $90-91 billion .
The bar is already above NVIDIA's own $78 billion guidance . A simple beat is not enough. The stock fell on four of its last five beats . The Q2 guide matters more than the Q1 headline.
🔹 The $1 Trillion Blackwell-Rubin Bet
Jensen Huang sees $1 trillion in cumulative Blackwell and Rubin demand through 2027 . Morgan Stanley forecasts $845 billion in data center revenue between 2026 and 2027 alone . Bank of America's Vivek Arya raised his target to $320, seeing 42% upside from current levels .
KeyBanc pushed to $300. UBS to $275. TD Cowen to $275 . The analyst consensus sits at $279, implying 25% upside .
🔹 The Hidden China Catalyst
Export controls block advanced chip sales to China. NVIDIA took a $5.5 billion charge . Current guidance assumes zero China data center revenue.
If the Trump-Xi summit eventually eases restrictions, any China revenue becomes pure upside to already record-breaking numbers. The market is not pricing this possibility.
🔹 The $500 Billion Options Swing
Options markets price an 8-10% move on earnings . That represents over $500 billion in potential market cap movement in a single session. SpotGamma warns that if the massive call option positions get liquidated, NVIDIA could mark a key turning point for the entire equity market .
🔹 The Levels That Matter
Support sits at $221.45, the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement . The $218-220 zone is the next floor. Below that, $200 is the institutional demand area .
Resistance starts at $227.74. A break above $231.50 opens the path toward $237.91 . A strong beat and raise targets $250-270. A miss or cautious guide opens $200-195 .
Bottom Line
NVDA closed at $222.32 ahead of the most critical earnings print of 2026. Wall Street expects $78.8 billion. Whisper numbers run closer to $81 billion. Q2 guidance near $90 billion is the real bar. Morgan Stanley sees $845 billion in data center revenue through 2027. Bank of America targets $320. Options price a 10% swing. The AI infrastructure thesis faces its quarterly verdict Wednesday after the bell.
Friends, are you positioned for NVIDIA to clear the high bar and send AI tokens ripping, or does the "buy the rumor, sell the news" risk keep you on the sidelines?
#TradfiTradingChallenge
$NVDA