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The rebound is real, but the reversal is fake!
The Federal Reserve minutes are coming soon, and it’s not unusual for the market to move a little ahead of time. What’s new is—
Interest rate futures have already flipped. From betting on rate cuts to a 40% chance of a rate hike in December, this turn comes too fast, and sentiment hasn’t caught up yet. Such a sharp change suggests the market is starting to worry about rate hikes again! On top of that, since inflation keeps failing to come down, it’s hard for the Fed to suddenly turn more dovish in its messaging. So, there may be a short-term rebound, but selling pressure will come back afterward—and most likely, prices will rise first and then keep falling.
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