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#$BTC 5.20 Evening Bitcoin and Ethereum Latest Ideas and Analysis
In this digital age, not understanding crypto technology isn’t your fault, but watching the train pull away while you don’t dare to board is the biggest regret. Looking back at the afternoon, Bitcoin rose from the midday low of 76700 all the way to 77663 but failed to break through the 77800 resistance level. After getting pressured, it pulled back to the current level of 77450.
Structurally, on the four-hour timeframe, it has formed a typical high-level stagnation + double-top divergence. Multiple times it pushed higher but still couldn’t hold above the key resistance. Each new high is weaker; volume can’t keep up—this is a classic bull-trap. The longer the sideways consolidation at high levels lasts, the higher the probability of a breakdown to the downside. This is an iron law. The moving average system is already arranged bearish: the short-term moving averages tightly press down on the price. Every rebound hits the moving averages but can’t break through—this is a weakness signal. After a bearish MACD cross at high levels, the MACD has continued to weaken; the green histogram has expanded in volume. The bearish momentum isn’t fading—instead, it’s building. This indicates that what’s happening now is not a reversal, but a continuation of the decline. Resistance overhead is stubborn, while support below can be broken with just a small push. In terms of trading: on rebounds, look to short. Don’t guess the bottom, and don’t bottom-fish. For the short-term target, watch the key support below; once that breaks, the downside space will open further. #特朗普推迟打击伊朗
5.20 Evening Outlook
For Bitcoin around 77600, you can short; target 77200.
For Ethereum around 2135, you can short; target 2115.
Let's see if there are geopolitical conflicts tomorrow or the day after;
otherwise, it will just fluctuate and can't go down.