□ 05-20 Market Brief (Morning)

I. BTC Trends and Key Levels
1. Trend Judgment
After a high-level pullback, entering a 76,000–78,000 range for oscillation and shakeout
Trading volume shrinks, willingness of funds to chase prices is weak; futures funding rates remain negative, bears are dominant
Conclusion: Short-term is slightly volatile and weak, difficult to have a strong rebound before stabilizing above 78,000
2. Key Price Levels (USD)
【Strong Resistance】78,500 (previous platform + short-cover zone, needs volume to break through)
【Short-term Resistance】77,800 (difficult to break effectively within the day)
【Current Range】76,800–77,000 (oscillation center)
【Strong Support】75,800–76,200 (this week’s low, if broken look at 74,500)
【Extreme Support】74,500 (bulls’ defensive bottom line)
3. Trading Reference
Short-term Long Positions
Entry: 75,800–76,200
Stop Loss: 75,500
First Take Profit: 77,500 Second Take Profit: 78,300
Short-term Short Positions
Entry: 77,600–78,000
Stop Loss: 78,800
First Take Profit: 76,500 Second Take Profit: 75,900
II. ETH Trends and Key Levels
1. Trend Judgment
Follows the overall market decline, but buy orders around 2,080 are obvious
Technical: RSI rebounds from low levels, MACD bearish momentum diminishes, slight rebound potential
Conclusion: Relatively resistant to decline, oscillates slightly bullish, a breakout depends on BTC movement
2. Key Price Levels (USD)
【Strong Resistance】2,180–2,200 (heavy short-cover zone, needs volume to break)
【Short-term Resistance】2,150–2,160 (intraday rebound bottleneck)
【Current Range】2,110–2,130 (oscillation center)
【Strong Support】2,070–2,080 (this week’s low, if broken look at 2,030)
【Extreme Support】2,030 (bulls’ defensive bottom line)
3. Trading Reference
Short-term Long Positions
Entry: 2,070–2,085
Stop Loss: 2,030
First Take Profit: 2,140 Second Take Profit: 2,170
Short-term Short Positions
Entry: 2,140–2,160
Stop Loss: 2,210
First Take Profit: 2,090 Second Take Profit: 2,060
III. Overall Conclusion and Risk Reminder
BTC: Below 78,000 oscillates weakly, with low volume difficult to break through, beware of double bottom
ETH: Relatively resistant to decline, slight rebound, but low probability of independent strength, focus on BTC’s direction
Core Risks: Insufficient capital inflow, heavy short-cover pressure above, cautious macro sentiment
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