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In the last 24 hours, $700 million got wiped out.
Bitcoin crashed to a new daily low of $76,102, currently sitting at $76,199, down -2.4%. Ethereum's even worse, hitting $2,091 at one point, now at $2,098, down -4%. Total liquidations across the board exceeded $700 million, with longs making up over 82%.
The trigger isn't on-chain, it's geopolitical.
US-Iran negotiations have stalled, and oil prices spiked 2% in a day, breaking $107. A certain social media platform chimed in, saying 'the clock is ticking', and the market translated that directly to: risk assets are looking bearish.
But the deeper issue is that the macro environment has turned hostile. April's CPI hit 3.8%, a two-year high, with PPI at 6%. The market was initially betting on rate cuts, but the table has flipped—some institutions are already pricing in rate hikes. Bitcoin's rally from mid-April at $66K to $82K has been met with resistance at the 200-day moving average of $82,455, getting rejected four times. A double whammy from technical and macro factors.
Miners are also bailing out. On-chain data shows that miners net sold around 800 BTC (about $64 million) in the past week, clearly looking to lock in profits. On the ETF side, there was a net outflow of over $1 billion in May, ending the consecutive inflows from March to April.
Retail investors who chased the price above $80K are being systematically taken out by institutional counterparties, one by one.
To put it bluntly: when CPI, oil prices, and geopolitics all align against you, there’s no such thing as a 'safe-haven narrative'. Just liquidation
#TradfiTradingChallenge