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Limingyang 5.18 Midday Core Conclusion Analysis (Personal Opinion, For Reference Only)
Currently, on the 1-hour cycle, BTC and ETH have dropped sharply and are now consolidating at low levels, with the overall trend leaning bearish. The main strategy is to short on rebounds, with light long positions for testing. I personally do not recommend heavy positions to catch the bottom and risk catching falling knives.
MA Moving Averages: Price has broken below MA5/MA10, with the moving averages forming a death cross downward, indicating a weakening short-term trend, and resistance during rebounds is obvious. MACD: DIF crosses below DEA, green bars continue to expand, indicating increasing bearish momentum, while upward momentum is insufficient. Volume: Volume increases during declines and decreases during rebounds, with the market dominated by bears. Bulls lack strength to support, and the sustainability of rebounds is questionable.
Directly usable long/short strategy orders (Personal opinion, for reference only)
ETH
Main strategy: Short
Entry: Rebound to 2130-2138
Stop loss: 2150
Take profit: 2108 → 2080
Position size: ≤5%
Light long position
Entry: Rebound and stabilize at 2108-2112 + MACD golden cross
Stop loss: 2100
Take profit: 2130-2138
Position size: ≤2%
BTC
Main strategy: Short
Entry: Rebound to 77300-77450
Stop loss: 77800
Take profit: 76900 → 76600
Position size: ≤5%
Light long position
Entry: Rebound and stabilize at 76900-77000 + volume with long lower shadow
Stop loss: 76700
Take profit: 77300-77450
Position size: ≤2%
Risk control bottom line (Personal execution standards, for reference only)
1. Must set stop loss, do not hold through losses, do not add to positions.
2. Single asset position ≤5%, total position ≤10%. $ETH