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🎯 Specific operational suggestions (go with the trend)
It is recommended to wait for a slight rebound after overselling before entering short positions, for a higher risk-reward ratio:
1. Main strategy: Short on rebound (recommended)
· Entry zone: $85.5 - $86.5
· Stop loss: Set above $88.0 (standing firm invalidates the short)
· Take profit targets: $82.0 (first target), $78-80 (second target)
· Operation logic: This is a 4-hour resistance zone; a rebound here facing pressure is a relatively safe shorting point.
2. Alternative strategy: Very small position attempt short (aggressive)
· Entry zone: Near $84.0 - $84.5
· Take profit targets: $81.5 - $82.0
· Operation logic: If the price weakly consolidates sideways and then drops, you can gradually enter small positions when the rebound lacks strength.
3. Extreme case: Support buy-in (high risk)
· Entry zone: $77 - $78
· Stop loss: Below $76
· Operation logic: This is the previous low support zone from May; only if the price falls to this level and shows clear signs of stopping the decline, can a very small position be attempted for a short-term rebound.
⚠️ Risk control points
· Strictly avoid blindly bottom-fishing: Before the price stabilizes above $87.5 - $88, any long risk is very high.
· Pay attention to Bitcoin’s trend: SOL currently follows the market closely; if BTC drops below $76,000, SOL may accelerate its decline.
· Control position size: SOL’s volatility is usually greater than ETH; it is recommended to limit risk per trade within 2%, and strictly set stop losses.
Regarding SOL’s current market, the strategy remains “short on rebound,” and its bearish trend is clearer than Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL has fallen for four consecutive days, breaking below the key level of $85, opening downward space.
📉 Why is SOL a key short target?
· Technical weakness: Price has broken below EMA20 ($85.3), the 4-hour MACD has a death cross and the gap is widening, indicating increasing bearish momentum.
· Market sentiment is pessimistic: Funding rates remain negative, and the long-short ratio is below 1 (0.9727), showing that the contract market is dominated by bears.
· Key support broken: The previous oscillation zone’s lower boundary at $83.5 - $84 has been lost, directly opening the downward space toward $80 or even lower.