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🚨 Bitcoin Sunday Analysis — The Bearish Thesis Remains Intact
Bitcoin rejected almost perfectly from the $82K region, exactly the resistance zone I’ve been warning about for weeks.
This was always one of my main shorting areas, and after the rejection, BTC has already dropped more than 5%.
📊 Current Positioning:
• Average short entry around $81K
• Additional limit shorts waiting between $85K–$86K
• Higher timeframe bearish bias remains unchanged
🔍 How We Got Here
When BTC traded around $124K–$125K, I warned that Bitcoin would eventually fall below $100K and started heavily shorting.
After the breakdown below $100K, I continued warning that downside pressure was not finished, and Bitcoin later dropped toward the $77K–$74K region.
When the market bounced toward $97K, I again called it a temporary rally and added more shorts.
Later, during the move toward $60K, I clearly stated that a relief rally toward the $82K–$85K zone was still possible before another larger move down.
Now BTC has once again reacted directly from that resistance area.
📉 Bigger Picture
Despite short-term pumps, I still believe the broader structure remains bearish.
My long-term expectation:
• BTC below $50K
• Potential move toward the $40K region later if key supports fail
For now, the strategy remains simple:
• Let price move into resistance
• Continue managing shorts carefully
• Avoid emotional chasing
📊 Macro Risks Still Matter
Several major macro catalysts remain ahead:
• Upcoming Fed Chair transition
• Ongoing political uncertainty
• Market sensitivity to headlines and policy shifts
• Rising inflation pressure
• Global geopolitical tensions and war risks
Even if markets continue short-term rallies, underlying macro conditions still look fragile beneath the surface.
💡 Markets often look strongest before volatility returns.
⚠️ This analysis reflects a personal market view and trading strategy — confirmation and risk management remain essential.
💬 What’s your view?
Is BTC preparing for another major leg down… or proving the bears wrong?
@Gate_Square#GateSquare