I'm watching now when the crypto bull run will really kick off. Analysts are increasingly pointing to the first half of 2026 as a realistic breakthrough moment in the market.

A few things caught my interest. First, the historical pattern — Bitcoin halving in April 2024 traditionally suggests an upward phase about 12-18 months later. This exactly aligns with the time window everyone is discussing now.

Raoul Pal and other macroeconomists say that when the bull run actually appears, it could peak somewhere in mid-2026 if conditions remain favorable. Some analysts even more specifically point to the first quarter — January to March — as the start of a broader upward trend supported by improved liquidity and easing monetary policy.

What could drive this? Further interest rate cuts, clearer regulation, increased institutional capital inflow. Add to that new trends — tokenization, AI projects in crypto. These factors could truly push the market throughout 2026.

But here’s the catch — not every asset will move simultaneously. Bitcoin might be the leader, while altcoins will behave differently depending on liquidity and adoption. Some even see a scenario where consolidation lasts longer or the bull run arrives with a delay.

I check current prices: Bitcoin is now at 78.93K with a 1.22% drop, Solana at 88.97 with a 2.16% drop, Ethereum at 2.22K with a 1.67% decrease. The market is currently consolidating, but this could be exactly the moment experts are talking about.

In summary — when the crypto bull run really begins, most traders expect it around the turn of the first and second halves of 2026. It could start in the first half, peak around June. But volatility and actual fundamentals will reveal how this will truly unfold.