Just realized something interesting about the crypto bull run history we've all lived through. Looking back at the major cycles over the past decade, there's actually a pretty predictable pattern that most people miss.

Let me break down what actually happened. The first real explosive move came in 2015-2016, when Bitcoin climbed from $152 to $780 over about 17 months. Nothing crazy by today's standards, but it was the beginning. Then 2017 hit different—that mania cycle took us from $1K to nearly $20K in just 12 months. Everyone and their grandma was talking about crypto back then.

The 2020-2021 run was the real deal though. Started from the March 2020 crash at $3,850 and ran all the way to $69K by November 2021. That's a 20-month journey that changed the game. And then we had the post-FTX recovery cycle starting in early 2023 from $16,500, which peaked around $73.7K by March 2024.

Here's the thing that actually matters: Bitcoin halving happened back in April 2024, and historically these events tend to set up the next big move 6-12 months down the line. So we've been watching the market carefully through 2024 and into 2025, and yeah, late 2025 started looking interesting as the expected entry point for the next cycle.

Every cycle seems to follow this rhythm—you get a bottom, then roughly 12-20 months of sustained upside, and eventually it ends in that euphoric peak where everyone's all-in. Right now, BTC is sitting around $81.75K, up about 2.87% today. ETH is at $2.31K (+2.29%), and BNB is holding $682.60 (+1.78%).

The crypto bull run history teaches us that these aren't random. They're cyclical, they're predictable if you know what to look for, and they tend to reward those who understand the pattern. The question is whether we're still in the early stages of this cycle or if we're already pricing in the euphoria. Either way, understanding where we've been helps you figure out where we're going.