Brief thoughts on the market outlook ~

The market is all about preheating the positive news of visiting China, the Fed's past chair changes caused sharp declines, and the impact of these upheavals. But I’ve noticed a few issues, let’s discuss them!

1. The main impact of each leadership change is on decision-making after taking office, not an absolute negative effect. I’ve checked some information recently and found that the last two chairs, Yellen and Powell, both caused panic and market crashes due to their decisions.

2. For Wosh, in his previous speeches, the market is showing two sides—both hawkish and dovish. It’s quite absurd, but I personally think this guy managed to get the job interview through the yellow-haired person, and on the rate cut point, it probably won’t be so easily overturned.

3. The performance of the US stock market is very obvious. If panic occurs, investors would have fled early. But now, new highs keep coming, and before the leadership change, there’s no fear at all. This indicates that the institutions and big capital giants behind the scenes are quite optimistic and see positive signals!

4. In the crypto space, there has been a pullback before the leadership change in the past two days. According to previous logic, this would mean a big plunge is coming. But looking at the liquidation map, the current bearish sentiment seems even stronger. In the weekly liquidation chart, the overall market’s long-short ratio is clearly off, and in the monthly chart, the long-short ratio has even reversed.

This shows that it’s not an extremely weak trend visible to the naked eye; short-term adjustments and pullbacks are just to push the market into a bearish phase. A sudden rebound could quickly hit 830-860.

At this moment, I still hold my view: unless it drops to 858-888, I won’t consider a major reversal in the short term. Still following the left-side strategy, focusing on short-term longs first!

If it reaches 765-778, I will definitely go for a swing long without hesitation, aiming for 5000 points profit! Regarding the second contract, around 2160 is a good level to start planning a wave!

My personal opinion. If you have different views, feel free to leave a comment! $BTC $ETH $DOGE #美国4月PPI同比暴涨6%