#BTC Be careful—the big move is at the latest on the 15th. Don’t get tricked by “inertia thinking”!!! After you finish reading this, you’ll be able to protect yourself at critical moments.

Why talk about “liquidity” today? Recently, Bitcoin has been repeatedly tug-of-warring back and forth, with the swing between the upper and lower ranges showing less than 3% fluctuation. And the more it stays in this kind of small range, the more dangerous it is. With such small swings, it’s hard to trigger liquidations. Those who don’t like to take defensive positions— even if they get caught—can still hold on and bounce back. It’s easy to develop “inertia thinking” where once you’re trapped you can endure and recover. But the longer this mindset lasts, the heavier the position weight becomes, and the tighter it is—stop-losses get looser. When people fall into this kind of inertia, once a wave of a big one-sided order comes through, and the single-day volatility exceeds 6–10%, then the domino effect starts: stop-losses → violent liquidation → wall-flattening (support gets wiped out) → further one-sided move → even more violent liquidations, a chain of stampedes.

Right now, this small-range fluctuation has been going on for quite a while. Based on previous patterns, the big move is not far off. Especially on the 15th, when “Wosheng” takes the stage, liquidity will shrink because of him. When Wosheng delivers his speech, it’s easy to trigger the market—leading to a sharp pump or a sharp dump. By then, if you still don’t take a defensive stance, it’s easy to be wiped out. So in the near term, don’t stubbornly hold on. When key support or resistance is breached—right then, it’s a liquidation. Don’t hesitate; otherwise you’ll only sink deeper and deeper until you’re wiped out.

Overall: Narrow-range consolidation = calm before the storm. Wosheng on the 15th = the fuse. Holding positions based on inertia = self-inflicted. In the near term, be sure to control your downside exposure, strictly use defense, and don’t become one of the fuel sources. #美国4月CPI上涨3.8%