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deltapro

BTC $81100, #ETH $2300



Fear and Greed Index - 41
Alt Season Index - 40
Market Capitalization - $2.67 trillion

Thoughts by Coin

๐Ÿ“‰ Short Candidates:

โ€” COS

โ€” TRUTH

๐Ÿ“ˆ Long Candidates:

โ€” HYPE

โ€” AAVE

Market in โ€œoil + inflation โ†’ risk-off under pressure, but without panicโ€ mode: oil is still above ~$105 due to problems around Iran and Hormuz, and hot inflation supports a strong dollar โ†’ the market finds it difficult to continue risk-on

๐Ÿ“‰ S&P 500 โ€” local weakness after growth, looks neutral / short
๐Ÿ“‰ Gold โ€” does not show strength in geopolitics, looks neutral
๐Ÿ“ˆ Dollar โ€” strong against the background of inflation + safe haven, looks long
๐Ÿ“Š Oil โ€” high (~$105โ€“107 Brent), looks long
๐Ÿ“Š BTC โ€” holding (~80โ€“81k), but no momentum, looks neutral
๐Ÿ“‰ ETH โ€” weaker than BTC, looks neutral / short

#btc #usdt #usdc #xrp $GT $ETH $SOL
GT-0.27%
ETH0.89%
SOL-0.2%
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deltapro
ยท 1h ago
โŒ RISKS:
โ€” ceasefire breakdown / new escalation โ†’ oil > $110
โ€” strong inflation โ†’ even tighter dollar / yields
โ€” BTC does not hold $80k โ†’ crypto goes into risk-off

โœ… CONFIRMATION ZONES:
โ€” Brent > $108โ€“110 โ†’ new oil shock
โ€” DXY continues to grow โ†’ full risk-off
โ€” BTC > $82k โ†’ crypto is still stronger than macro
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