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#Gate广场五月交易分享 #沃什确认出任美联储主席 The Federal Reserve changes leadership: Jerome Powell is out, Kevin Wirth takes over, will the crypto world bring “dollar liquidity injections” or a “missed expectations” scenario?
On May 15th, Jerome Powell's term as Chair officially ended, and Kevin Wirth will be sworn in as the 17th Chair of the Federal Reserve. This leadership transition is far more than a simple personnel change; it could become a critical turning point in determining the direction of the cryptocurrency market in the second half of 2026.
In recent years, Powell has been the “benchmark” for global financial markets. His statement “continue to raise interest rates” caused global stocks, gold, and Bitcoin to plummet; his remark “consider cutting rates” immediately sent risk assets into a frenzy.
In the crypto world, there is a saying: Don’t oppose the Federal Reserve. Now, this “market’s biggest BOSS” is about to turn away, leaving a meaningful “see you next time.” The successor, Kevin Wirth, is now in the spotlight. The market’s most pressing question is: is he the “executor” of Trump’s will, or a “new guardian” of the Fed’s independence?
Trump’s dissatisfaction with Powell has long been public, repeatedly pressuring for faster rate cuts to stimulate the economy. Wirth, during his nomination hearing, showed a policy approach that seems more dovish. He proposed a “rate cut roadmap,” believing that AI development can unleash productivity and curb inflation, while advocating reducing the Fed’s massive balance sheet to create room for rate cuts. The market generally interprets that if Wirth follows the White House’s wishes, a rate-cut cycle could begin in May or June.
What does this mean for cryptocurrencies? The historical pattern is clear: the tide of dollar liquidity directly drives the crypto market’s bull and bear cycles. Once the Fed shifts to easing, the “water” released often first flows into Bitcoin — regarded as “digital gold” and a global liquidity barometer. Subsequently, capital effects spread to Ethereum, eventually igniting a frenzy of altcoins and Meme coins. If Wirth’s “liquidity easing” arrives as expected, a liquidity-driven crypto bull market may accelerate.
However, there is another side to the coin. Wirth also emphasizes maintaining the Fed’s independence and implementing reforms. Currently, U.S. inflation faces upside risks due to factors like the Middle East situation, and many Wall Street institutions have canceled expectations of rate cuts this year. If Wirth takes office and, considering inflation fighting or safeguarding central bank independence, is not eager to cut rates, or even continues Powell’s cautious tone in later stages, he could very well become a “second Powell.”
For the market, the most frightening thing is often not bad news but “missed expectations.” If the market’s widely bet on easing policies are delayed or even reversed, assets like Bitcoin could face sharp expectation corrections and price retracements. The crypto world may experience another deep shakeout.
Therefore, this leadership change is essentially a contest over the dominance of U.S. monetary policy. Wirth’s choice between “puppet chairman” and “new Powell” will directly determine the flow of dollars.
For every market participant, the next few weeks require close attention to two key signals:
First, Wirth’s first public statement after taking office, whether it leans dovish or hawkish;
Second, the decision at the June Federal Reserve meeting, which will serve as a litmus test for his policy stance.
Ultimately, what truly drives a bull market is never fanciful stories but real dollar liquidity. Wirth’s decision is about to reveal the answer.
On May 15, Jerome Powell’s term as Chair officially ended, and Kevin Wouš will be sworn in as the 17th Federal Reserve Chair. This transfer of power is far more than a simple personnel change; it could become a crucial turning point that determines the direction of the cryptocurrency market in the second half of 2026.
In recent years, Powell has been the “benchmark” for global financial markets. One line—“keep raising interest rates”—sent global stock markets, gold, and Bitcoin plunging; one line—“consider cutting rates”—made risk assets celebrate immediately.
In the crypto world, there is a saying: don’t go against the Federal Reserve. Now, this “market’s biggest BOSS” is about to turn around and leave, with a cryptic parting message of “see you next time.” The successor, Kevin Wouš, is currently standing under the spotlight. For the market, there is only one core question: is he the “executor” of Trump’s will, or the “new guardian” of the Federal Reserve’s independence?
Trump’s dissatisfaction with Powell has long been public, and he has repeatedly pressured for faster rate cuts to stimulate the economy. Meanwhile, the policy approach Wouš demonstrated during his nomination hearing appears to lean more “dovish.” He proposed a “rate-cut roadmap,” arguing that advances in artificial intelligence can liberate productivity and curb inflation, and he also advocates shrinking the Federal Reserve’s massive balance sheet to create room for rate cuts. The market generally interprets it as: if Wouš follows the White House’s wishes, a rate-cut cycle may begin in May and June.
What does this mean for cryptocurrencies? The historical pattern is clear: the tides of dollar liquidity directly pull the crypto market’s bull-and-bear cycles. Once the Federal Reserve turns toward easing, the “water” released often flows first into Bitcoin—an asset viewed as “digital gold” and a barometer of global liquidity. After that, the capital effect spreads to Ethereum, ultimately igniting a frenzy of various altcoins and Meme coins. If the liquidity “flood” led by Wouš arrives on schedule, a liquidity-driven crypto bull market may accelerate.
However, there is another side to the coin. Wouš also emphasizes maintaining the Federal Reserve’s independence and implementing reforms. Currently, U.S. inflation faces upside risks due to factors such as the Middle East situation, and many Wall Street institutions have canceled expectations of rate cuts for this year. If, after taking office, Wouš decides to resist inflation or safeguard central bank independence and therefore does not rush to cut rates—possibly even continuing the cautious tone of Powell’s later period—he is likely to become a “second Powell.”
For the market, the most frightening thing is often not bad news, but “expectations falling short.” If the easing policy that the market broadly expects fails to arrive for a long time, or even if it reverses, assets such as Bitcoin are likely to face sharp expectation corrections and price pullbacks. The crypto world may be hit by yet another deep shakeout.
Therefore, at its core, this change of leadership is a game over who controls U.S. monetary policy. Wouš’s choice between being a “puppet chair” and a “new Powell” will directly determine where the dollars flow.
For every market participant, the next few weeks will require close attention to two key signals:
First, Wouš’s first public remarks after formally taking office—whether his tone is more dovish or hawkish;
Second, the decision at the June Federal Reserve meeting, which will be the touchstone for testing his policy stance.
At the end of the day, what truly drives a bull market has never been fanciful stories, but real dollar liquidity. Wouš’s choice is about to reveal the answer.