Just noticed a weekly sell signal for Bitcoin with the current price at $81,050. This looks really important because this combination has happened twice before, and the results were brutal—an 84% drop in 2018 and 77% in 2022. So this isn’t just noise; this is a serious cycle-level setup.

If history repeats itself, BTC could first drop to the $75,000 area. Yes, that would still be about 13% lower than here, but it would line up with a deeper reset pattern—especially as ETF flows start to weaken and demand from softer treasury buyers begins to fade.

What’s interesting is that the Crypto Fear and Greed Index is now at level 11—extreme fear. Back in 2021, that level was followed by a 40% drop before Bitcoin surged to an ATH $69k. But in 2022, the same fear zone lasted for months until BTC fell from $69k to $15k—basically a 78% collapse.

So the board is clear with hard data: an active sell signal, two major historical drawdowns, a fear index at extremes, and support visible at $75k. This is the point where the cycle could either die or reload. In the short term, there will be pain, but in the medium term, this is exactly the kind of condition that has historically produced Bitcoin’s biggest rebounds. Interesting times ahead.