May 13, 2026 Cryptocurrency Market Analysis

1. Macro Background (Core logic has shifted to neutral)

Last night, the US April CPI annual rate was announced at 3.8%, far above the previous 3.3%, and the core CPI annual rate also rose from 2.6% to 2.8%. This is an unexpectedly hawkish data point, indicating that US inflation has not cooled but instead is accelerating.

As a result, market expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in 2026 have been significantly lowered, and concerns about further rate hikes have emerged. This is the fundamental reason Bitcoin fell below $80k last night. The macro environment has shifted to a bearish dominance, making it difficult to reverse significantly in the short term.

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2. Current Market Data (As of May 13)

Bitcoin's latest quote is $80,638, down 1.09% in 24 hours, with perpetual contract trading volume of 80k USDT.

Ethereum's latest quote is $2,282, down 2.19% in 24 hours, with a trading volume of 9.74B USDT.

Solana's latest quote is $94.36, down 3.11% in 24 hours, with a trading volume of 7.85B USDT.

The market features three coins declining simultaneously, with Solana experiencing the largest drop. As a highly elastic asset, it is leading the decline, and market sentiment is leaning toward panic.

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3. Technical Analysis and Trading Ideas for Each Coin

Bitcoin

Currently, it has effectively broken below the psychological level of $80,000 and is consolidating around $80,600. The first support below is at $78,500; if broken, the next target is $75,000 to $76,000. The first resistance above is at $81,300; regaining this level can temporarily relieve risk, with a reversal confirmation at $82,000.

In terms of trading, avoid going long or bottom-fishing. Any rebound to $81,300 and facing resistance is a zone for short entries or holding short positions. If it drops directly to $78,500, observe whether it breaks down with increased volume; even if quickly recovered, only aggressive traders should attempt super short-term rebounds, as the risk is high.

Ethereum

At $2,282, it is approaching the critical support zone of $2,260 to $2,270. If this level is lost, the downside opens up to $2,150 to $2,180. Resistance is at $2,320, with strong resistance at $2,350.

In trading, avoid entering long positions. Focus on the defense at $2,260. If a rebound to $2,300–$2,320 faces resistance, consider light short positions. For long-term spot holdings, wait near $2,100.

Solana

At $94.36, it is facing resistance in the strong zone of $95 to $96 and has pulled back, with the largest decline. Short-term support is at $93, then at $90, with an extreme case at $88. The key resistance remains at $95–$96; only a breakout here can challenge $100.

Avoid bottom-fishing in trading. A rebound to $95–$96 and facing resistance is a good shorting opportunity. Long positions should wait until it stabilizes above $96 or after a pullback to $90 and stabilization.

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4. Summary

The macro environment is bearish, with inflation rebound directly suppressing rate cut expectations.

In trading strategy, avoid going long or bottom-fishing; consider shorting on rebounds facing resistance, or simply stay in cash and observe.

Bitcoin needs to recover above $81,500 to relieve short-term risk; otherwise, it remains bearish. Ethereum can breathe a bit if it holds $2,260, but if lost, it will accelerate downward. Solana’s $95 is the dividing line of strength; below it, look at $90.

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5. Risk Reminder

The macro environment has turned bearish. Any rebound without volume confirmation of breaking back above key resistance should be viewed as a chance to escape or short briefly.

If Bitcoin unexpectedly recovers above $82,000 with volume, the current bearish logic needs to be reassessed.

Market volatility is high; strictly control positions and stop-losses. #美国4月CPI上涨3.8%