#BTC Last night, it first continued to strengthen, then it consolidated at high levels into the early morning, and then it continued to weaken. As for the positioning, it went from the 820 stance and then shifted to the 811 stance in the morning. Total: 1450 points. At midday, 812 once again consolidated and kept waiting; in the evening, it signaled at 807 that you could reduce exposure—wait for the retracement to continue oscillating. When the rebound hit 810, it once again gave the “continue oscillating” signal, and then kept reminding everyone not to reduce too early. Now it is at 799; at the same level, the positions already have 1300 points, and along the way there are also 1100 points. Manage your stance and timing accordingly. We are already close to the first target zone—you can reduce and then keep looking downward, toward around 796 to 788. The thinking is clear; the point range feels like you picked it up for free.

In the afternoon, it first made a forecast that CPI would lead to going long; in the evening, it might weaken again. During the evening, when the “tea needle” appeared, it was clearly stated that the “tea needle” is not a reversal—after a rebound, it’s only a few rounds of oscillation. But some people insist on going against it: seeing the “tea needle” rebound and then running to reduce. This is CPI—not other fundamental factors. Although CPI didn’t swing wildly up and down, it has continuity; unlike Middle East fundamentals, which do not have continuity. So don’t rush and panic-reduce. Don’t cling to wishful thinking; consider the market environment, interpret the fundamentals, and look at the trend structure together.

All the “big bamboozles” are caused by wishful thinking. The more you don’t want it, the deeper you get trapped. And once you run into a one-way move, if you add and increase “沧” (margin/position), it’s basically unrecoverable—everything is gone. From the start, set the plan and execute it strictly. The volume is accumulated over time; it’s not made in a single moment.