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Interesting what is emerging from the experts' analyses these days. Ferguson, former Vice President of the Federal Reserve, emphasized that the labor market is showing some stability at the moment. But there's a significant caveat: inflation continues to weigh, still around 3%, and there is still a lot to do on this front.
According to reports, Ferguson predicts that the Fed will remain in a wait-and-see position, observing how things develop in the coming times. He is not alone in thinking this way. David Mericle, an economist at Goldman Sachs, aligns with a similar view: he expects the post-meeting Fed statement to acknowledge progress in the labor market and positive signals on inflation, but to maintain the current policy stance without surprises.
The general feeling is that most board members will vote to keep rates where they are, probably with only one dissenting vote. A scenario that closely resembles what happened in March. In short, it seems that for now, the Fed prefers to watch and wait before making significant moves.