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Tonight at 8:30 PM, the U.S. April CPI will be released in a major event.
Oil prices remain stubbornly high, and the market is worried that the year-over-year CPI could reach the highest level in three years. If the data comes in above expectations, expectations for a Fed rate cut will cool, and there could even be expectations for an additional rate hike, which would strengthen the U.S. dollar and U.S. Treasuries—putting crypto assets under short-term pressure and increasing the likelihood of a pullback.
If the data comes in below expectations and inflation cools, rate cut expectations will be reignited. The U.S. dollar would weaken, and BTC and ETH could rebound, while low-level long positions continue to be held.
The current market is moving in a narrow range. Focus remains on the 80k level, as both bulls and bears are waiting for the CPI to break through and determine the direction.