Is the "Super Bull Market" coming? Ark Invest: Bitcoin's market cap could reach $16 trillion by 2030

Bitcoin recently rebounded dramatically from the $60k low, soaring 30% within two months, returning above $80k. This not only revived the overall cryptocurrency market but also prompted Ark Invest to make a shocking forecast again: by 2030, Bitcoin’s market cap is expected to surge to $16 trillion, while the total cryptocurrency market cap could reach $28 trillion.
Although there is still some distance from the all-time high of $126k set in 2025, Bitcoin has followed the optimistic sentiment of global stock markets to rally. As of the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $81,405, up 0.6% in the past 24 hours.
What’s even more noteworthy is that the upcoming Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh has publicly declared Bitcoin as the “new gold.” With the support of heavyweight figures, market expectations for Bitcoin’s future have also risen significantly.
Led by the “female stock goddess” Cathie Wood, Ark Invest stated: “Bitcoin is gradually maturing and is ready to become the leader of a new ‘institutional-grade asset’ category.” The research team predicts:

In the next five years, Bitcoin will continue to dominate the cryptocurrency market, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of up to 63%, and its market cap will explode from nearly $2 trillion today to $16 trillion by 2030.

The report also mentions that this surge will drive a comprehensive breakout in the overall cryptocurrency market. Ark Invest estimates that by 2030, the total crypto market size will rapidly expand from the current $2.8 trillion to $28 trillion. The report states:

The market size of smart contract networks and digital currencies is expected to grow at an annual rate of about 61%. We firmly believe that Bitcoin alone could capture up to 70% of the market share, with the remaining market share divided among smart contract-enabled public chains like Ethereum and Solana.

Cathie Wood, known for betting on disruptive innovative technologies, previously predicted that by 2030, Bitcoin’s price could soar to between $300k and $1.5 million. She believes that Bitcoin is not only the ultimate hedge against fiat currency devaluation but also capable of resisting the deflationary effects brought by the artificial intelligence (AI) revolution.
The recent rally in Bitcoin is mainly driven by two major catalysts: first, Bitcoin is expected to capture about 40% of the total market value of traditional gold, further boosting its price; second, the widespread explosion of asset tokenization.
Ark’s research team pointed out: “We believe that as regulations become clearer and institutional infrastructure is fully established, asset tokenization will inevitably see large-scale adoption.”