CPI Debuts! A day that decides the direction, with Jin Yingying's view being bullish and targeting 83,000!

Tonight (May 12), the US April CPI data is the most critical macro event for Bitcoin recently, directly determining whether BTC will surge, crash, or oscillate tonight. Here's the most straightforward, directly comparable market view:

- Market expectation: CPI year-over-year 3.4%, Core CPI 3.7%
- Previous value: CPI 3.2%, Core CPI 3.8%

Three scenarios tonight, corresponding to Bitcoin's movement:

CPI below expectations (<3.4%) → Bullish for Bitcoin
CPI in line with expectations (around 3.4%) → Neutral oscillation
CPI above expectations (>3.5%) → Bearish for Bitcoin

1. Core CPI > 3.7% is strongly bearish, exerting a greater impact than overall CPI
2. US Treasury yields and the US dollar index move in sync, amplifying BTC's rise or fall
3. Middle Eastern geopolitical conflicts pushing up oil prices will indirectly support CPI, increasing the likelihood of a bearish outcome tonight

A one-sentence summary of tonight's market:

- Cold data: BTC breaks 84,000+
- Hot data: BTC dips back to around 78,000
- Neutral data: oscillates repeatedly between 80,000–83,000

Personally, considering recent US reactions, the probability of neutral to slightly bullish data is higher, and the market should respond with oscillation!

Yesterday during the day, the market stabilized above 81,000; before tonight's data, the approach remains bullish. The bullish outlook remains unchanged!

For Bitcoin, it is recommended to go long around 81,000, with a stop at 80,200, targeting 82,500–83,500.
For Ethereum, go long around 2,315, with a stop at 2,275, targeting 2,365–2,340!

These views are for reference only; trade at your own risk! #比特币波动 $BTC $ETH $ETH