The recent crypto crash shows Bitcoin falling back to $80.89k after nearly hitting $82k mid-week. Tensions between the United States and Iran clearly played a role in this decline, but what really interests me is what it means technically.



What stands out when observing the market is that Bitcoin futures funding rates have remained negative for 67 consecutive days — a 10-year record according to the data I've seen. This means that short traders have been paying to hold their positions for over two months while prices were rising. It’s a classic setup before a short squeeze if Bitcoin breaks above $83,200. Meanwhile, Dogecoin records the sharpest crypto decline among major currencies, dropping nearly 2% over seven days, while Ethereum dips slightly to $2.33k and XRP rises to $1.45.

Bitcoin’s daily RSI has reached an overbought zone above 70, which preceded significant drops in August, October, and January. Analysts I’ve read mention a medium-term target around $93,000, but they warn that the path won’t be linear. There could be a re-test before moving higher. The options market also shows persistent demand for puts, suggesting traders are hedging even by buying.

The current crypto decline looks more like profit-taking than a structural reversal. Wall Street futures were slightly higher, and most global risk assets remain resilient despite the geopolitical context. As long as these negative funding rates persist, upward pressure remains.
BTC-1.68%
DOGE-1.56%
ETH-2.56%
XRP-2.57%
View Original
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
Comment
Add a comment
Add a comment
No comments
  • Pin