Many people like to find reasons after the fact when trading,

but truly valuable analysis is when the market hasn’t moved yet—before it unfolds, you’ve already made your logic and positioning clear in advance.

On May 7th, I had already been very clear:
the support at 2315 is very strong. More aggressive partners can go long with a small position, while more steady ones should wait for the 2260–2290 range.

As it turned out, price dipped to around 2263 at the lowest point. Then ETH rebounded strongly, rallying to above 2380—nearly a 120-dollar move.

Why could this ETH rally be pulled up?
Because that previous sharp sell-off was essentially a shakeout: the main force used the news to unwind leverage, wash out uncommitted positions, and then pushed the price up again.

And I’ve always said: the most important thing in trading isn’t whether you can guess the top and bottom—it's whether you can lock in positions with a high reward-to-risk ratio in advance.

Even if you get it wrong, as long as the position is good and your stop-loss is small, you can still stay in the game for a long time; but if you chase every breakout and sell every dip emotionally every day, even if you manage to profit once in a while, you’ll eventually give it all back.
#BTC突破82000美元 #特朗普5月13日访华 #CLARITY法案下周审议 $ETH ‌