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BTC, ETH overall pace this week is steadily improving, many are concerned: is there still room for a surge?
From the macro fundamentals, the Middle East situation remains turbulent and volatile, geopolitical tensions continue to influence global energy and financial markets. Last week, the dollar, crude oil, and gold moved in high correlation, completely following geopolitical news fluctuations; with the US-Iran situation slightly heating up, the dollar and crude oil strengthened, gold weakened, while Bitcoin moved independently in a reverse trend, with limited actual impact from geopolitical conflicts on the market.
The market always operates within expectations, Bitcoin relies on the 67,000 support level to build a base and rebound, Ethereum at 1850 is simultaneously positioned for a bullish outlook. The medium-term monthly chart still has potential for a rebound and surge, targeting 82,000; but Ethereum's trend is relatively weaker, never able to break through the strong resistance at 2,460. The long-term strategic logic remains valid, currently not simply bullish or bearish, more about range-bound oscillation waiting for clear signals.
Looking at the current market sentiment, only panic remains. Those who truly understand strategic positioning have already taken profits and stabilized, while retail investors still hold short-term luck-based gambling psychology on price movements: a small dip calls for a bear market, a rally is praised as a bull market. In fact, the current market is just a standard box-range oscillation, markets have never been eternally bullish or bearish; understanding how to avoid risks during downturns is far more important than blindly entering during market frenzy.
Over the past two months, the upward trend has been consistently indicated, the logic and cards have long been disclosed. Trading does not need to worry about right or wrong in the process; ultimately, profit and loss are the best validation. There are no eternal winners in the market, but cognition and discipline are the fundamental roots of standing firm.
Most retail investors are addicted to frequent short-term trading, constantly opening and closing positions, wasting mental energy, and ultimately falling into a loss cycle, only making excuses to complain about the market or doubt themselves. Few take the time to deeply analyze the essence, unable to understand trends or maintain rhythm, which is the core reason for repeated losses. #BTC重返8万