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Russia and Ukraine may achieve a ceasefire before May 31, 2026. The probability of the "Yes" option jumps by 96.5 percentage points in a single day.
ME News Report, May 9th (UTC+8), forecast market data shows that in the event of “Russia and Ukraine reaching a ceasefire before May 31, 2026,” the trading probability for the “Yes” option increased from 3.5% to 100.0%, a daily rise of 96.5 percentage points.