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Market Risk Reminder | Current Structural Observation
🟡 Mainstream (BTC/ETH): Deep convergence, Dev ROC negative, no clear direction
🟠 Altcoin high-position group (SOL/SUI/PEPE): Expanding but Dev percentile is high, hitting the upper band, momentum slowing risk increasing
🟢 Altcoin low-position group (AVAX/DASH): Starting at low levels, relatively healthy structure, but relies on mainstream cooperation
Core logic:
The expansion of altcoins under the convergence of mainstreams is not a sign of the overall market strength, but driven by local liquidity and irrational pricing.
Once the mainstream direction confirms downward, high-position altcoins expand without buffer, directly reverting.
Now is not the time to heavily chase longs.
For those with unrealized gains, move stop-loss up to protect profits.
For those without positions, wait for the mainstream to give a clear direction.
There will always be another opportunity in the market, but only if you are still in the game.
(Currently, I have already liquidated 20% of my high-position altcoins, set a stop-loss, and continue to wait for a clear direction.)