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When the signal drops in the elevator, I instead focus only on the actions on a few chains: the so-called "coincidental transfers" can actually be traced back to the path... For example, a 200 ETH transfer from 0x7b…9c to 0xA1…eE looks like a big shot casually moving funds, and following two more hops reveals: it first goes to an exchange hot wallet, then is split into a bunch of new addresses for tasks/liquidity addition, and finally converges back to the same collection address. Basically, it's a process, not mysticism.
Recently, with airdrop season + task platforms fighting off scammers, people are as diligent as clocking in for work, and on-chain, this kind of "seemingly coincidental" batch pattern is even easier to spot. Anyway, now when I see large transactions, I first take a screenshot, don’t rush to jump to conclusions, first clarify the path, and avoid scaring myself.