No one has ever been able to fully capitalize on all market waves; missed opportunities were never meant for you;

Compared to how much money you make, learning not to lose big money first is the key to survival;
Heavy positions and luck-based trading will eventually cause you to lose everything in one go;
Shakeouts are not meant to crush you, but to wash out the indecisive traders.
Bitcoin surged early yesterday, leading the rally, reaching a high of 81,708 in the stage high;
In the afternoon and evening, after a brief surge, the bullish momentum quickly exhausted, with a low of around 80,260 before a slight rebound and recovery.
Ethereum moved in sync with Bitcoin’s rise and fall, following the same rhythm, with intraday highs of 2,356 and lows of 2,284.

In the short term, after the price surged to the historical high of 82,828 and faced resistance, it sharply dropped, effectively breaking below the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, a strong support level;
Currently hovering near the lower band, the overall market has shifted from a strong upward trend to a corrective weak zone;
Once the lower band support is broken, the downward space will be fully opened.
All three lines are in the oversold zone below 20, with the J-line turning first, indicating a short-term oversold rebound and correction;
However, the major downtrend has not reversed, and the rebound is only a correction.
A standard death cross has formed at high levels, with a significant increase in green energy bars, indicating ongoing bearish momentum;
Mid-term correction pressure remains very high.
The biggest and most direct variable today: Iran will officially respond today to the US’s 14-point peace ceasefire proposal;
If the response is moderate and negotiations proceed smoothly: Middle East geopolitical risks will significantly decrease, risk aversion will fade, and BTC will quickly rebound and recover, breaking above 81,000;
If the response is tough and negotiations break down: escalation of conflict and panic will spread, and the market will continue to decline sharply, with the 79,000 level lost and heading straight for the 77,500 zone.
Bitcoin: Bearish near 80,000, target: 78,500
Ethereum: Bearish near 2,300, target: 2,200