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【May 8th Options Settlement Data】
20k BTC options are expiring, with a Put Call Ratio of 0.73, the maximum pain point at $79,500, and a notional value of $1.6 billion.
182k ETH options are expiring, with a Put Call Ratio of 0.93, the maximum pain point at $2,350, and a notional value of $410 million.
This week, Bitcoin rose from $75,000 to $82,000, then pulled back last night. Despite the good market trend, market sentiment has remained relatively calm, with main-term options and short-term RV remaining unchanged from last week, while short-term RV has increased. Bitcoin’s main short-term implied volatility (IV) is around 35%, ETH’s main short-term IV is around 50%, with slight declines in medium and long-term IVs as well.
From the main options data, skew remains relatively stable with a very slight increase, indicating that market directional sentiment remains neutral. Only about 5% of options are expiring this week, with very low options activity, and futures trading volume has also hit historic lows. Around 20% of positions are held by the end of May, about 30% by the end of June, with relatively inactive block trades, all signaling consolidation.
In Q2 of this year, Bitcoin performed well in both price and popularity, but overall market enthusiasm remains subdued. Currently, the focus is mainly on trading Bitcoin, and it’s quite reasonable to allocate some medium- and long-term options, as well as some high-quality altcoins, which also seem to offer good value.