#BTC The evening non-farm payroll data will determine the short-term direction of BTC, so is it more likely to be bearish or bullish news? The outlook is more inclined toward bullish.

1: Expectations of a rate cut are heating up. Current weak employment data suggests the economy is cooling down, which may prompt the U.S. Federal Reserve to reconsider its stance on interest rates, thereby increasing the probability of a rate cut.

2: Rate-cut expectations usually inject market liquidity, and funds tend to flow more into the crypto market.

3: At the moment, mainstream forecasts are only 62,000 jobs—far lower than the 178,000 in March. If the data really is this bad, it may be seen as an economic slowdown, which could help lift coin prices.

Of course, if the data comes in unexpectedly strong, it would be bearish. But right now, the market—and what has already been priced in the “expectation of employment slowdown”—means tonight’s data is likely to lean bullish. However, it’s also worth considering that if ADP data is strong, there may be a pullback in the short term after the rebound.#比特币跌破8万美元